SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

IV Catheter, Safety, 20G x 1.16 in

IV TherapyVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-776690

Stock position

On hand
1,525 each11.7 days of supply
On order
0 eachnothing open
Forecast rate
130.7 each/daynext 30 days
Demand over 9 days
1,201 eachlead time plus review period
Safety stock
158 eachempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
1,359 eachabove
Stockout
Sat Sep 26
Recommended order
noneby Wed Sep 23
Inventory value
$2,211at $1.45 per each

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing12% weekly error, over-forecast13% worse than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 12% on average (24% day by day), and it over-forecast by 7% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 10%.

0141283todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
0safety stock 158runs out Sat Sep 26tomorrowThu Oct 1
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per eachInvoices90-day spendPairing
Meridian Medical SupplyMMS-776690IV CATH SFTY 20GX1.16 BX/50BX of 50$1.2214$11,139stand-in
Northwind Health DistributionNW7980604IV Catheter, Safety, 20G x 1.16 in - 200/CsCS of 200$1.3013$4,666stand-in

Northwind Health Distribution charges $1.2960 per each for this item; Meridian Medical Supply charges $1.2240. That is 6% more on about 14,600 each a year, or $1,051 a year.