SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

IV Extension Set, 7 in, Needleless

IV TherapyEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-572964

Stock position

On hand
3,414 each21.5 days of supply
On order
0 eachnothing open
Forecast rate
158.6 each/daynext 30 days
Demand over 9 days
1,458 eachlead time plus review period
Safety stock
252 eachempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
1,710 eachabove
Stockout
Tue Oct 6
Recommended order
noneby Sat Oct 3
Inventory value
$3,755at $1.10 per each

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing13% weekly error, over-forecast15% worse than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 13% on average (27% day by day), and it over-forecast by 6% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 12%.

0167334todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
0safety stock 252runs out Tue Oct 6tomorrowSun Oct 11
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per eachInvoices90-day spendPairing
Meridian Medical SupplyMMS-572964IV EXT SET 7 NDLS CS/100CS of 100$1.0114$10,273stand-in
Northwind Health DistributionNW4904651IV Extension Set, 7 in, Needleless - 100/CsCS of 100$1.0513$4,426stand-in