SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

IV Start Kit with Chlorhexidine

IV TherapyEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-002002

Stock position

On hand
1,876 each19.5 days of supply
On order
0 eachnothing open
Forecast rate
96.0 each/daynext 30 days
Demand over 9 days
882 eachlead time plus review period
Safety stock
118 eachempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
999 eachabove
Stockout
Sun Oct 4
Recommended order
noneby Thu Oct 1
Inventory value
$4,502at $2.40 per each

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing7% weekly error, unbiased0% better than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 7% on average (25% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 7%.

0107215todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
0safety stock 118runs out Sun Oct 4tomorrowFri Oct 9
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per eachInvoices90-day spendPairing
Meridian Medical SupplyMMS-002002IV START KIT CHG CS/50CS of 50$2.1415$16,730stand-in
Northwind Health DistributionNW6192371IV Start Kit with Chlorhexidine - 50/CsCS of 50$2.3213$6,045stand-in

Northwind Health Distribution charges $2.3249 per each for this item; Meridian Medical Supply charges $2.1448. That is 8% more on about 10,544 each a year, or $1,899 a year.