SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Abdominal (ABD) Pad, 8 x 10 in, Sterile

Wound CareNon-essential, 90% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-991911

Stock position

On hand
14,534 each161.5 days of supply
On order
0 eachnothing open
Forecast rate
90.0 each/daynext 30 days
Demand over 9 days
823 eachlead time plus review period
Safety stock
193 eachempirical 90th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
1,016 eachabove
Stockout
not projected
Recommended order
none
Inventory value
$4,360at $0.30 per each

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing12% weekly error, unbiased0% better than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 12% on average (24% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 12%.

0105211todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
0safety stock 193tomorrowWed Oct 14
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per eachInvoices90-day spendPairing
Meridian Medical SupplyMMS-991911ABD (ABD) PAD 8X10 STRL BX/18BX of 18$0.2514$1,643stand-in
Northwind Health DistributionNW1281995Abdominal (ABD) Pad, 8 x 10 in, Sterile - 288/CsCS of 288$0.2711$845stand-in