SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Nasal Cannula, Adult, 7 ft Tubing

RespiratoryEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-446468

Stock position

On hand
2,208 each17.4 days of supply
On order
0 eachnothing open
Forecast rate
126.6 each/daynext 30 days
Demand over 9 days
1,161 eachlead time plus review period
Safety stock
97 eachempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
1,258 eachabove
Stockout
Fri Oct 2
Recommended order
noneby Tue Sep 29
Inventory value
$1,214at $0.55 per each

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing9% weekly error, unbiased6% better than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 9% on average (21% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 9%.

0149298todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
0safety stock 97runs out Fri Oct 2tomorrowWed Oct 7
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per eachInvoices90-day spendPairing
Meridian Medical SupplyMMS-446468NASAL CANN ADLT 7 FT TUBING CS/50CS of 50$0.4914$4,457stand-in
Northwind Health DistributionNW7065331Nasal Cannula, Adult, 7 ft Tubing - 50/CsCS of 50$0.5013$1,864stand-in