Non-Rebreather Mask, Adult, with Reservoir
RespiratoryEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-791965
Stock position
- On hand
- 875 each23 days of supply
- On order
- 0 eachnothing open
- Forecast rate
- 38.0 each/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 9 days
- 350 eachlead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 50 eachempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 400 eachabove
- Stockout
- Wed Oct 7
- Recommended order
- noneby Sun Oct 4
- Inventory value
- $1,138at $1.30 per each
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing7% weekly error, under-forecast9% worse than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 7% on average (24% day by day), and it under-forecast by 5% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 7%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per each | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian Medical Supply | MMS-791965 | NRB MASK ADLT RESV CS/50 | CS of 50 | $1.26 | 13 | $2,833 | stand-in |
| Northwind Health Distribution | NW7962492 | Non-Rebreather Mask, Adult, with Reservoir - 50/Cs | CS of 50 | $1.23 | 14 | $1,294 | stand-in |
| Summit Clinical Products | SC-884166 | NRB MASK ADLT RESV 50CS | CS of 50 | $1.27 | 7 | $509 | stand-in |