Endotracheal Tube, Cuffed, 7.5 mm
RespiratoryVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-959443
Stock position
- On hand
- 101 each11.1 days of supply
- On order
- 0 eachnothing open
- Forecast rate
- 9.1 each/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 9 days
- 83 eachlead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 42 eachempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 125 eachbelow: order now
- Stockout
- Fri Sep 25
- Recommended order
- 3 BXby Sat Sep 19
- Inventory value
- $283at $2.80 per each
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing12% weekly error, under-forecast27% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 12% on average (33% day by day), and it under-forecast by 7% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 17%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per each | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian Medical Supply | MMS-959443 | ET TUBE CUFF 7.5 MM BX/10 | BX of 10 | $2.54 | 12 | $1,549 | stand-in |
| Northwind Health Distribution | NW1361090 | Endotracheal Tube, Cuffed, 7.5 mm - 10/Bx | BX of 10 | $2.59 | 13 | $724 | stand-in |