SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Suction Catheter, 14 Fr, Closed System

RespiratoryEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Meridian Medical Supply, lead 1.5 days, ordered every 7 daysMMS-781427

Stock position

On hand
1,391 each17.8 days of supply
On order
0 eachnothing open
Forecast rate
78.3 each/daynext 30 days
Demand over 9 days
720 eachlead time plus review period
Safety stock
115 eachempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
835 eachabove
Stockout
Fri Oct 2
Recommended order
noneby Tue Sep 29
Inventory value
$974at $0.70 per each

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing8% weekly error, unbiased25% better than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 8% on average (28% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 10%.

090180todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windoweach/day
0safety stock 115runs out Fri Oct 2tomorrowWed Oct 7
Projected on hand, each: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per eachInvoices90-day spendPairing
Meridian Medical SupplyMMS-781427SUCT CATH 14 FR CLSD SYS CS/50CS of 50$0.6213$3,163stand-in
Northwind Health DistributionNW2373805Suction Catheter, 14 Fr, Closed System - 50/CsCS of 50$0.6114$1,470stand-in