Vancomycin HCl for Injection, 1 g Vial
Anti-infectivesVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00143935710
Stock position
- On hand
- 807 vial13.8 days of supply
- On order
- 129 vialfirst arrives Tue Sep 15
- Forecast rate
- 58.5 vial/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 256 viallead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 94 vialempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 350 vialabove
- Stockout
- Wed Sep 30
- Recommended order
- noneby Mon Sep 28
- Inventory value
- $3,632at $4.50 per vial
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing11% weekly error, under-forecast8% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 11% on average (26% day by day), and it under-forecast by 6% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 12%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00018 | 308 | Wed Jan 13 | 121 | $4.50 | 0 vial · $0 |
| L00017 | 499 | Mon Nov 8 | 420 | $4.50 | 0 vial · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per vial | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00143935710 | VANCOMYCIN HCL 1 G/1 VIAL EA | EA of 1 | $3.93 | 30 | $15,417 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-31611 | VANCOM 1G/1 SDV 10CT | PK of 10 | $4.09 | 13 | $6,788 | stand-in |