SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Piperacillin-Tazobactam for Injection, 3.375 g Vial

Anti-infectivesVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days63323030030

Stock position

On hand
1,684 vial23.9 days of supply
On order
38 vialfirst arrives Tue Sep 15
Forecast rate
70.4 vial/daynext 30 days
Demand over 4 days
301 viallead time plus review period
Safety stock
108 vialempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
409 vialabove
Stockout
Fri Oct 9
Recommended order
noneby Tue Oct 6
Inventory value
$11,451at $6.80 per vial

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing10% weekly error, under-forecast32% worse than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 10% on average (21% day by day), and it under-forecast by 10% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 8%.

091183todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
0safety stock 108runs out Fri Oct 9tomorrowWed Oct 14
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Lots and expiry

Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.

LotQuantityExpiresDaysUnit costProjected waste
L000221,082Tue Jun 13638$6.800 vial · $0
L00021602Tue Jul 25680$6.800 vial · $0

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per vialInvoices90-day spendPairing
Harborline Pharmaceuticals63323030030PIPERACILLIN NA,TAZOBACTAM NA 3; .375 G/15ML; G/15ML VIAL EAEA of 1$6.1029$29,178stand-in
Cobalt Rx DistributorsCRX-22474PIPERA 3;.375G/15ML;G/15ML SDV 10CTPK of 10$6.3714$15,095stand-in