Fluconazole in NaCl, 200 mg/100 mL Bag
Anti-infectivesEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00409343524
Stock position
- On hand
- 270 bag17.4 days of supply
- On order
- 0 bagnothing open
- Forecast rate
- 15.5 bag/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 67 baglead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 14 bagempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 81 bagabove
- Stockout
- Fri Oct 2
- Recommended order
- noneby Wed Sep 30
- Inventory value
- $1,053at $3.90 per bag
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing16% weekly error, over-forecast21% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 16% on average (34% day by day), and it over-forecast by 7% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 20%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowbag/day
Projected on hand, bag: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00033 | 270 | Thu Nov 18 | 430 | $3.90 | 0 bag · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per bag | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00409343524 | FLUCONAZOLE 200 MG/100ML BAG EA | EA of 1 | $3.34 | 35 | $3,853 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-38846 | FLUCON 200MG/100ML BAG 1CT | EA of 1 | $3.47 | 14 | $1,455 | stand-in |
| Summit Clinical Products | SC-556227 | FLUCON 200MG/100ML BAG 1CT | EA of 1 | $3.65 | 8 | $580 | stand-in |