Rocuronium Bromide Injection, 50 mg/5 mL Vial
Analgesia & AnesthesiaVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00143925010
Stock position
- On hand
- 648 vial16.7 days of supply
- On order
- 65 vialfirst arrives Mon Sep 14
- Forecast rate
- 38.8 vial/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 168 viallead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 57 vialempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 224 vialabove
- Stockout
- Thu Oct 1
- Recommended order
- noneby Tue Sep 29
- Inventory value
- $2,203at $3.40 per vial
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing9% weekly error, unbiased14% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 9% on average (27% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 11%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00052 | 648 | Sun Jul 9 | 664 | $3.40 | 0 vial · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per vial | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00143925010 | ROCURONIUM BROMIDE 10 MG/ML VIAL EA | EA of 1 | $2.92 | 32 | $7,940 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-30562 | ROCURO 10 SDV 1CT | EA of 1 | $3.13 | 14 | $3,637 | stand-in |
Cobalt Rx Distributors charges $3.1272 per vial for this item; Harborline Pharmaceuticals charges $2.9201. That is 7% more on about 4,717 vial a year, or $977 a year.