Succinylcholine Chloride Injection, 200 mg/10 mL Vial
Analgesia & AnesthesiaVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00143933825
Stock position
- On hand
- 328 vial17.3 days of supply
- On order
- 11 vialfirst arrives Tue Sep 15
- Forecast rate
- 19.0 vial/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 81 viallead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 31 vialempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 112 vialabove
- Stockout
- Fri Oct 2
- Recommended order
- noneby Wed Sep 30
- Inventory value
- $1,607at $4.90 per vial
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing13% weekly error, over-forecast32% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 13% on average (32% day by day), and it over-forecast by 3% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 19%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00053 | 328 | Thu Dec 17 | 94 | $4.90 | 0 vial · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per vial | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00143933825 | SUCCINYLCHOLINE CHLORIDE 20 MG/ML VIAL EA | EA of 1 | $4.29 | 31 | $5,356 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-60277 | SUCCIN 20 SDV 10CT | PK of 10 | $4.64 | 13 | $2,507 | stand-in |
Cobalt Rx Distributors charges $4.6418 per vial for this item; Harborline Pharmaceuticals charges $4.2885. That is 8% more on about 2,190 vial a year, or $774 a year.