SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Lidocaine HCl Injection, 1%, 20 mL Vial

Analgesia & AnesthesiaEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00143917210

Stock position

On hand
1,361 vial16.6 days of supply
On order
0 vialnothing open
Forecast rate
82.0 vial/daynext 30 days
Demand over 4 days
355 viallead time plus review period
Safety stock
95 vialempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
450 vialabove
Stockout
Thu Oct 1
Recommended order
noneby Tue Sep 29
Inventory value
$1,633at $1.20 per vial

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing8% weekly error, under-forecast19% better than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 8% on average (24% day by day), and it under-forecast by 5% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 9%.

093186todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
0safety stock 95runs out Thu Oct 1tomorrowTue Oct 6
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Lots and expiry

Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.

LotQuantityExpiresDaysUnit costProjected waste
L00055448Wed Aug 25345$1.200 vial · $0
L00054913Fri May 19613$1.200 vial · $0

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per vialInvoices90-day spendPairing
Harborline Pharmaceuticals00143917210LIDOCAINE HCL 10 MG/ML VIAL EAEA of 1$1.0631$6,529stand-in
Cobalt Rx DistributorsCRX-89167LIDOCA 10 SDV 1CTEA of 1$1.0913$2,564stand-in