Epinephrine Injection, 0.1 mg/mL, 10 mL Prefilled Syringe
Critical CareVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00404980610
Stock position
- On hand
- 23 syringe17.2 days of supply
- On order
- 0 syringenothing open
- Forecast rate
- 1.3 syringe/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 5 syringelead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 12 syringeempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 17 syringeabove
- Stockout
- Fri Oct 2
- Recommended order
- noneby Tue Sep 22
- Inventory value
- $219at $9.50 per syringe
How the forecast was made
Intermittent (TSB)off by 4.9 syringe/week on average, under-forecast13% better than naive
This item is used on fewer than 60% of days, so the forecast is 'how much when it's used' times 'how often it's used', each updated daily.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 4.9 syringe a week, and it under-forecast by 38% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 79%. This item had no usage on 67% of days, so the intermittent method is used.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowsyringe/day
Projected on hand, syringe: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00065 | 23 | Sun Feb 13 | 517 | $9.50 | 0 syringe · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per syringe | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00404980610 | EPINEPHRINE .1 MG/ML SYR EA | EA of 1 | $8.35 | 24 | $1,036 | stand-in |