Amiodarone HCl Injection, 150 mg/3 mL Vial
Critical CareVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00143987510
Stock position
- On hand
- 245 vial13.9 days of supply
- On order
- 22 vialfirst arrives Mon Sep 14
- Forecast rate
- 17.7 vial/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 78 viallead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 34 vialempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 112 vialabove
- Stockout
- Mon Sep 28
- Recommended order
- noneby Fri Sep 25
- Inventory value
- $515at $2.10 per vial
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing11% weekly error, under-forecast2% worse than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 11% on average (31% day by day), and it under-forecast by 6% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 10%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00066 | 245 | Mon Aug 7 | 693 | $2.10 | 0 vial · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per vial | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00143987510 | AMIODARONE HCL 50 MG/ML VIAL EA | EA of 1 | $1.79 | 29 | $2,072 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-54794 | AMIODA 50 SDV 1CT | EA of 1 | $1.86 | 15 | $1,083 | stand-in |