SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Enoxaparin Sodium Injection, 40 mg/0.4 mL Prefilled Syringe

Critical CareVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days63323053587

Stock position

On hand
3,168 syringe23.4 days of supply
On order
0 syringenothing open
Forecast rate
135.3 syringe/daynext 30 days
Demand over 4 days
589 syringelead time plus review period
Safety stock
164 syringeempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
754 syringeabove
Stockout
Thu Oct 8
Recommended order
noneby Tue Oct 6
Inventory value
$10,138at $3.20 per syringe

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing9% weekly error, unbiased25% better than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 9% on average (22% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 11%.

0155310todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowsyringe/day
0safety stock 164runs out Thu Oct 8tomorrowTue Oct 13
Projected on hand, syringe: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Lots and expiry

Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.

LotQuantityExpiresDaysUnit costProjected waste
L000721,945Fri Jan 8116$3.200 syringe · $0
L000731,223Mon Nov 8420$3.200 syringe · $0

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per syringeInvoices90-day spendPairing
Harborline Pharmaceuticals63323053587ENOXAPARIN NA 40 MG/.4ML SYR EAEA of 1$3.0330$28,323stand-in
Cobalt Rx DistributorsCRX-53823ENOXAP 40MG/.4ML PFS 1CTEA of 1$2.8213$11,644stand-in

30 of 30 invoices in the last 90 days were above the contract price. Those lines averaged $3.03 per EA vs $2.78 contracted: 9% more, $2,358 overpaid in 90 days, about $9,561 a year at that rate.

Harborline Pharmaceuticals charges $3.0324 per syringe for this item; Cobalt Rx Distributors charges $2.8168. That is 8% more on about 37,879 syringe a year, or $8,169 a year.