Atropine Sulfate Injection, 1 mg/10 mL Prefilled Syringe
Critical CareVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00409163010
Stock position
- On hand
- 8 syringe43.6 days of supply
- On order
- 0 syringenothing open
- Forecast rate
- 0.2 syringe/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 1 syringelead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 8 syringeempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 9 syringebelow: order now
- Stockout
- Wed Oct 28risk: imminent
- Recommended order
- 1 EAby Mon Sep 14
- Inventory value
- $66at $8.20 per syringe
How the forecast was made
Intermittent (TSB)off by 2.9 syringe/week on average, under-forecast4% worse than naive
This item is used on fewer than 60% of days, so the forecast is 'how much when it's used' times 'how often it's used', each updated daily.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 2.9 syringe a week, and it under-forecast by 64% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 65%. This item had no usage on 71% of days, so the intermittent method is used.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowsyringe/day
Projected on hand, syringe: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00077 | 3 | Sat Aug 21 | 341 | $8.20 | 0 syringe · $0 |
| L00076 | 5 | Wed Feb 2 | 506 | $8.20 | 0 syringe · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per syringe | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00409163010 | ATROPINE SULFATE .1 MG/ML SYR EA | EA of 1 | $7.39 | 18 | $318 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-08729 | ATROPI .1 PFS 10CT | PK of 10 | $7.66 | 2 | $153 | stand-in |
| Summit Clinical Products | SC-388664 | ATROPI .1 PFS 10CT | PK of 10 | $8.77 | 1 | $88 | stand-in |