Dextrose Injection, 50%, 50 mL Prefilled Syringe
Critical CareVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 daysHL28351494
Stock position
- On hand
- 277 syringe22.7 days of supply
- On order
- 0 syringenothing open
- Forecast rate
- 12.2 syringe/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 53 syringelead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 33 syringeempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 86 syringeabove
- Stockout
- Wed Oct 7
- Recommended order
- noneby Sun Oct 4
- Inventory value
- $2,161at $7.80 per syringe
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing11% weekly error, unbiased11% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 11% on average (35% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 12%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowsyringe/day
Projected on hand, syringe: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00089 | 170 | Thu Apr 22 | 220 | $7.80 | 0 syringe · $0 |
| L00088 | 107 | Sat Feb 26 | 530 | $7.80 | 0 syringe · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per syringe | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | HL28351494 | DEXTROSE INJECTION SYR EA | EA of 1 | $7.07 | 32 | $6,394 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-82233 | DEXTRO PFS 10CT | PK of 10 | $7.12 | 14 | $2,707 | stand-in |