Naloxone HCl Injection, 0.4 mg/mL, 1 mL Vial
Critical CareVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00641619310
Stock position
- On hand
- 317 vial19.2 days of supply
- On order
- 10 vialfirst arrives Wed Sep 16
- Forecast rate
- 16.5 vial/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 72 viallead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 34 vialempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 106 vialabove
- Stockout
- Mon Oct 5
- Recommended order
- noneby Thu Oct 1
- Inventory value
- $824at $2.60 per vial
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing14% weekly error, under-forecast17% worse than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 14% on average (31% day by day), and it under-forecast by 10% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 12%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00091 | 161 | Thu Nov 18 | 430 | $2.60 | 0 vial · $0 |
| L00090 | 156 | Fri Dec 17 | 459 | $2.60 | 0 vial · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per vial | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00641619310 | NALOXONE HCL .4 MG/ML VIAL EA | EA of 1 | $2.42 | 31 | $3,073 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-74986 | NALOXO .4 SDV 10CT | PK of 10 | $2.51 | 14 | $1,429 | stand-in |