SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Sodium Chloride Injection, 0.9%, 1000 mL Bag

IV FluidsVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days46163030010

Stock position

On hand
7,230 bag17.1 days of supply
On order
0 bagnothing open
Forecast rate
422.0 bag/daynext 30 days
Demand over 4 days
1,817 baglead time plus review period
Safety stock
725 bagempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
2,542 bagabove
Stockout
Thu Oct 1
Recommended order
noneby Tue Sep 29
Inventory value
$13,376at $1.85 per bag

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing10% weekly error, unbiased5% better than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 10% on average (27% day by day), and it showed no systematic bias. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 10%.

0464928todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowbag/day
0safety stock 725runs out Thu Oct 1tomorrowTue Oct 6
Projected on hand, bag: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Lots and expiry

Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.

LotQuantityExpiresDaysUnit costProjected waste
L000924,071Tue Dec 1592$1.850 bag · $0
L000933,159Fri Jan 15123$1.850 bag · $0

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per bagInvoices90-day spendPairing
Harborline Pharmaceuticals46163030010NA CHLORIDE 900 MG/100ML BAG EAEA of 1$1.6331$41,459stand-in
Cobalt Rx DistributorsCRX-25945SODIUM 900MG/100ML BAG 12CTCS of 12$2.1813$37,858stand-in

Cobalt Rx Distributors charges $2.1802 per bag for this item; Harborline Pharmaceuticals charges $1.6317. That is 34% more on about 70,421 bag a year, or $38,631 a year. No contract is on file for this Cobalt Rx Distributors line.