Potassium Chloride in NaCl, 20 mEq/100 mL Bag
IV FluidsEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days65219000601
Stock position
- On hand
- 1,013 bag17.2 days of supply
- On order
- 92 bagfirst arrives Mon Sep 14
- Forecast rate
- 59.1 bag/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 255 baglead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 79 bagempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 334 bagabove
- Stockout
- Thu Oct 1
- Recommended order
- noneby Tue Sep 29
- Inventory value
- $3,444at $3.40 per bag
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing9% weekly error, under-forecast2% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 9% on average (27% day by day), and it under-forecast by 8% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 10%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowbag/day
Projected on hand, bag: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00099 | 1,013 | Sat Jul 24 | 313 | $3.40 | 0 bag · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per bag | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 65219000601 | POTASSIUM CHLORIDE 20 MEQ/100ML BAG EA | EA of 1 | $3.12 | 31 | $12,878 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-01836 | POTASS 20MEQ/100ML BAG 1CT | EA of 1 | $3.24 | 13 | $5,680 | stand-in |