Albuterol Sulfate Inhalation Solution, 2.5 mg/3 mL Nebule
RespiratoryEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00378827052
Stock position
- On hand
- 4,515 nebule18.8 days of supply
- On order
- 0 nebulenothing open
- Forecast rate
- 239.6 nebule/daynext 30 days
- Demand over 4 days
- 1,036 nebulelead time plus review period
- Safety stock
- 2 nebuleempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
- Reorder point
- 1,037 nebuleabove
- Stockout
- Sat Oct 3
- Recommended order
- noneby Fri Oct 2
- Inventory value
- $1,580at $0.35 per nebule
How the forecast was made
Exponential smoothing14% weekly error, over-forecast59% better than naive
A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.
Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 14% on average (25% day by day), and it over-forecast by 14% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 34%.
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windownebule/day
Projected on hand, nebule: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.
Lots and expiry
Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.
| Lot | Quantity | Expires | Days | Unit cost | Projected waste |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L00108 | 4,515 | Fri Feb 18 | 522 | $0.35 | 0 nebule · $0 |
Vendors and prices, last 90 days
| Vendor | Part number | Vendor description | Sells by | Paid per nebule | Invoices | 90-day spend | Pairing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborline Pharmaceuticals | 00378827052 | ALBUTEROL SULFATE 2.5 MG/3ML NEB 25/BX | BX of 25 | $0.33 | 31 | $5,827 | stand-in |
| Cobalt Rx Distributors | CRX-09665 | ALBUTE 2.5MG/3ML NEB 300CT | CS of 300 | $0.34 | 14 | $2,646 | stand-in |