SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Filgrastim Injection, 480 mcg/0.8 mL Prefilled Syringe

OncologyEssential, 95% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days00069029101

Stock position

On hand
55 syringe55 days of supply
On order
3 syringefirst arrives Mon Sep 14
Forecast rate
1.0 syringe/daynext 30 days
Demand over 4 days
4 syringelead time plus review period
Safety stock
4 syringeempirical 95th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
8 syringeabove
Stockout
Sun Nov 8
Recommended order
noneby Wed Nov 4
Inventory value
$10,450at $190.00 per syringe

How the forecast was made

Intermittent (TSB)off by 2.9 syringe/week on average, over-forecast0% better than naive

This item is used on fewer than 60% of days, so the forecast is 'how much when it's used' times 'how often it's used', each updated daily.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 2.9 syringe a week, and it over-forecast by 28% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 54%. This item had no usage on 52% of days, so the intermittent method is used.

048todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowsyringe/day
0safety stock 4runs out Mon Nov 9tomorrowFri Nov 13
Projected on hand, syringe: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Lots and expiry

Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.

LotQuantityExpiresDaysUnit costProjected waste
L0011640Wed Oct 1430$190.0010 syringe · $1,899
L0011811Mon Mar 29196$190.000 syringe · $0
L001174Sat Aug 7327$190.000 syringe · $0

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per syringeInvoices90-day spendPairing
Harborline Pharmaceuticals00069029101FILGRASTIM-AAFI 300 UG/.5ML SYR EAEA of 1$166.5824$17,491stand-in
Summit Clinical ProductsSC-469213FILGRA 300UG/.5ML PFS 1CTEA of 1$173.256$1,559stand-in