SupplyIQCascade Ridge Medical Center
Today

Tranexamic Acid Injection, 1 g/10 mL Vial

Critical CareVital, 99% service targetPrimary vendor Harborline Pharmaceuticals, lead 1 day, ordered every 3 days65219053410

Stock position

On hand
459 vial18.2 days of supply
On order
0 vialnothing open
Forecast rate
25.2 vial/daynext 30 days
Demand over 4 days
108 viallead time plus review period
Safety stock
48 vialempirical 99th percentile of forecast error
Reorder point
156 vialabove
Stockout
Sat Oct 3
Recommended order
noneby Wed Sep 30
Inventory value
$1,469at $3.20 per vial

How the forecast was made

Exponential smoothing11% weekly error, under-forecast7% worse than naive

A weighted recent average that learns the weekday pattern and any trend. Recent days count more than old ones.

Report card: the model was fit on history up to Tue Jul 21 and scored on the 56 days after. Weekly totals were off by 11% on average (30% day by day), and it under-forecast by 6% overall. A same-weekday-last-week guess would have been off by 10%.

03162todayreport card windowThu Mar 19Wed Oct 14
actual forecast, 80% and 95% range what the model said during the report card windowvial/day
0safety stock 48runs out Sat Oct 3tomorrowThu Oct 8
Projected on hand, vial: today's stock plus open orders on their expected dates, minus the forecast, day by day.

Lots and expiry

Earliest-expiry-first simulation against the forecast. Waste is what remains in a lot on its expiry date.

LotQuantityExpiresDaysUnit costProjected waste
L00119459Tue Jun 15274$3.200 vial · $0

Vendors and prices, last 90 days

VendorPart numberVendor descriptionSells byPaid per vialInvoices90-day spendPairing
Harborline Pharmaceuticals65219053410TRANEXAMIC ACID 10 MG/ML VIAL EAEA of 1$2.7532$5,149stand-in
Cobalt Rx DistributorsCRX-43249TRANEX 10 SDV 10CTPK of 10$2.8913$2,141stand-in

Cobalt Rx Distributors charges $2.8926 per vial for this item; Harborline Pharmaceuticals charges $2.7534. That is 5% more on about 3,001 vial a year, or $418 a year.